After over six years of Central rule, Jammu and Kashmir is gearing up to hold its first Assembly elections in a decade to elect a new government.
The voting will take place in three phases, with the first round scheduled for September 18. The following two phases will be on September 25 and October 1, with the results set to be announced on October 4.
This election will be the shortest polling period in any Assembly elections held in Jammu and Kashmir since the 2002 polls, which were conducted in four phases. Subsequent elections in 2008 and 2014 were held in seven and five phases, respectively.
The PDP-BJP coalition government formed in 2018 could not sustain itself, leading to Central rule being imposed in Jammu and Kashmir. The decision to abrogate Article 370 in 2019 further changed the political landscape, with the region being bifurcated into two Union Territories – Jammu and Kashmir, and Ladakh.
Following a Supreme Court directive, Assembly elections were mandated to be held by September 30, 2024. The legal validation of scrapping Article 370 in December 2023 set the stage for the upcoming polls.
| Party | Seats in 2002 | Seats in 2008 | Seats in 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC | 28 | 28 | 15 |
| PDP | 16 | 21 | 28 |
| Cong | 20 | 17 | 12 |
| BJP | 1 | 11 | 25 |
History reveals a trend of hung verdicts in Jammu and Kashmir post-2002, reflecting the political diversity and complexity of the region.
With the upcoming elections, the spotlight is on whether the region will once again witness a closely contested outcome or a clear mandate, shaping the future trajectory of Jammu and Kashmir’s governance.
The 2002 Assembly Election
The 2002 polls marked a significant political transition, with the PDP rising as a prominent player and forming a coalition government with the Congress.
Further elections in 2008 and 2014 showcased shifting alliances and power dynamics, ultimately leading to the present scenario of uncertainty and anticipation in the region.
Why a hung verdict?
The demographic divide between Jammu and Kashmir, coupled with varied political allegiances, has contributed to the recurrent trend of hung assemblies in the region.
As Jammu and Kashmir prepares for yet another electoral showdown, the legacy of past elections serves as a backdrop to the unfolding political drama in the Union Territory.
Stay tuned for the latest updates and insights into the upcoming Assembly elections in Jammu and Kashmir, as the state navigates through a critical juncture in its political history.